Abstract
We investigate a utility maximization problem in the presence of asset price bubbles. At random times, the investor receives warnings that a bubble has formed in the market which may lead to a crash in the risky asset. We propose a regime-switching model for the warnings and we make no assumptions about the distribution of the timing and the size of the crashes. Instead, we assume that the investor takes a worst-case perspective towards their impacts, i.e. the investor maximizes her expected utility under the worst-case crash scenario. We characterize the value function by a system of Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equations and derive a coupled system of ordinary differential equations for the optimal strategies. Numerical examples are provided.
Original language | English |
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Article number | 1650009 |
Journal | International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance |
Volume | 19 |
Issue number | 2 |
DOIs | |
State | Published - 1 Mar 2016 |
Externally published | Yes |
Keywords
- Optimal investment
- financial bubbles
- market crashes
- regime-switching
- worst-case scenario