Towards Physically Consistent Deep Learning For Climate Model Parameterizations

Birgit Kühbacher, Fernando Iglesias-Suarez, Niki Kilbertus, Veronika Eyring

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

Abstract

Climate models play a critical role in understanding and projecting climate change. Due to their complexity, their horizontal resolution of about 40-100 km remains too coarse to resolve processes such as clouds and convection, which need to be approximated via parameterizations. These parameterizations are a major source of systematic errors and large uncertainties in climate projections. Deep learning (DL)-based parameterizations, trained on data from computationally expensive short, high- resolution simulations, have shown great promise for improving climate models in that regard. However, their lack of interpretability and tendency to learn spurious non-physical correlations result in reduced trust in the climate simulation. We propose an efficient supervised learning framework for DL- based parameterizations that leads to physically consistent models with improved interpretability and negligible computational overhead compared to standard supervised training. First, key features determining the target physical processes are uncovered. Subsequently, the neural network is fine-tuned using only those relevant features. We show empirically that our method robustly identifies a small subset of the inputs as actual physical drivers, therefore removing spurious non-physical relationships. This results in by design physically consistent and interpretable neural networks while maintaining the predictive performance of unconstrained black-box DL-based parameterizations.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationProceedings - 2024 International Conference on Machine Learning and Applications, ICMLA 2024
EditorsM. Arif Wani, Plamen Angelov, Feng Luo, Mitsunori Ogihara, Xintao Wu, Radu-Emil Precup, Ramin Ramezani, Xiaowei Gu
PublisherInstitute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
Pages280-287
Number of pages8
ISBN (Electronic)9798350374889
DOIs
StatePublished - 2024
Event23rd IEEE International Conference on Machine Learning and Applications, ICMLA 2024 - Miami, United States
Duration: 18 Dec 202420 Dec 2024

Publication series

NameProceedings - 2024 International Conference on Machine Learning and Applications, ICMLA 2024

Conference

Conference23rd IEEE International Conference on Machine Learning and Applications, ICMLA 2024
Country/TerritoryUnited States
CityMiami
Period18/12/2420/12/24

Keywords

  • climate modeling
  • deep learning
  • interpretability
  • physical consistency
  • subgrid parameterization

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