Too good to be true? United Nations peacebuilding and the democratization of war-torn states

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Abstract

This article examines the effectiveness of UN peacebuilding missions in democratizing war-torn states, emphasizing those missions that include democracy promotion components in their mandates. Based on a multinominal logistic regression, we reveal that democratization is significantly more likely if a UN peacebuilding mission is deployed. Furthermore, regimes categorized as more liberal at the outset have an increased risk of revealing antidemocratization trends over the post-war period. Oil wealth impedes democratization and clear victory of one conflict party makes regime transitions more likely, yet in both directions. Descriptive statistics suggest that an increase in the mission’s capacities may be conducive to democratization.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)513-535
Number of pages23
JournalConflict Management and Peace Science
Volume32
Issue number5
DOIs
StatePublished - 1 Nov 2015
Externally publishedYes

Keywords

  • Civil war
  • United Nations
  • democracy promotion
  • peacebuilding
  • post-conflict democratization

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