The price of uncertainty in present-biased planning

Susanne Albers, Dennis Kraft

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

6 Scopus citations

Abstract

The tendency to overestimate immediate utility is a common cognitive bias. As a result people behave inconsistently over time and fail to reach long-term goals. Behavioral economics tries to help affected individuals by implementing external incentives. However, designing robust incentives is often difficult due to imperfect knowledge of the parameter β∈ (0, 1 ] quantifying a person’s present bias. Using the graphical model of Kleinberg and Oren [8], we approach this problem from an algorithmic perspective. Based on the assumption that the only information about β is its membership in some set B⊂ (0, 1 ], we distinguish between two models of uncertainty: one in which β is fixed and one in which it varies over time. As our main result we show that the conceptual loss of efficiency incurred by incentives in the form of penalty fees is at most 2 in the former and 1 + max B/ min B in the latter model. We also give asymptotically matching lower bounds and approximation algorithms.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationWeb and Internet Economics - 13th International Conference, WINE 2017, Proceedings
EditorsNikhil R. Devanur, Pinyan Lu
PublisherSpringer Verlag
Pages325-339
Number of pages15
ISBN (Print)9783319719238
DOIs
StatePublished - 2017
Event13th International Conference on Web and Internet Economics, WINE 2017 - Bangalore, India
Duration: 17 Dec 201720 Dec 2017

Publication series

NameLecture Notes in Computer Science (including subseries Lecture Notes in Artificial Intelligence and Lecture Notes in Bioinformatics)
Volume10660 LNCS
ISSN (Print)0302-9743
ISSN (Electronic)1611-3349

Conference

Conference13th International Conference on Web and Internet Economics, WINE 2017
Country/TerritoryIndia
CityBangalore
Period17/12/1720/12/17

Keywords

  • Approximation algorithms
  • Behavioral economics
  • Heterogeneous agents
  • Incentive design
  • Penalty fees
  • Variable present bias

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