The effect of information in separable Bayesian semi-Markov control models and its application to investment planning

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Abstract

We consider a separable Bayesian semi-Markov control model to describe economic decisions under uncertainty. Our main interest is to examine the influence of the possibility of learning on the economic decisions and on the total expected return in a multi-period framework. We make use of the concept of Blackwell-sufficiency and apply the results to multi-period investment planing under uncertainty.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)277-288
Number of pages12
JournalZOR Zeitschrift fü Operations Research Methods and Models of Operations Research
Volume41
Issue number3
DOIs
StatePublished - Oct 1995
Externally publishedYes

Keywords

  • Bayesian information models
  • Bayesian semi-Markov control models
  • Blackwell sufficiency
  • Bounds
  • Effects of information and learning effects
  • Multi-period investment planning under uncertainty

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