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Risk analysis of prostate cancer in practical, a multinational consortium, using 25 known prostate cancer susceptibility loci

  • UK Genetic Prostate Cancer Study Collaborators/ British Association of Urological Surgeons' Section of Oncology, UK Protect Study Collaborators, PRACTICAL Consortium
  • Strangeways Research Laboratory
  • Cancer Council Victoria
  • University of Melbourne
  • Human Genetics Foundation
  • Department of Oncology
  • Cancer Research UK Cambridge Institute
  • University of Oxford Medical Sciences Division
  • University of Oxford
  • University of Bristol
  • University of Manchester
  • University of Warwick
  • Tampere University
  • University of Turku and Turku University Hospital
  • Keck School of Medicine of USC
  • University College London
  • National Human Genome Research Institute (NHGRI)
  • Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center
  • University of Washington School of Public Health and Community Medicine
  • Queensland University of Technology
  • Menzies Health Institute Queensland
  • Cancer Council Queensland
  • Prostate Cancer Foundation of Australia
  • Gentofte Hospital
  • Aarhus University Hospital
  • Moffitt Cancer Center
  • Pomeranian Medical University in Szczecin
  • University Medical Center Ulm and Center of Excellence 'Metabolic Disorders'
  • Hannover Biomedical Research School
  • University of Tasmania
  • University of Utah School of Medicine
  • Edward Hines VA Medical Center
  • Division of Clinical Epidemiology and Aging Research
  • German Cancer Research Center
  • University of Pennsylvania
  • Jefferson Medical College
  • Akita University School of Medicine
  • Mayo Clinic
  • University of Michigan Medical School
  • Geneva University Hospitals
  • Medical University of Sofia
  • McGill University and Génome Québec Innovation Centre
  • Maastricht University Medical Center
  • Barts and The London School of Medicine and Dentistry
  • Second Military Medical University
  • University of Sheffield
  • Queensland Institute of Medical Research
  • Institute of Cancer Research
  • The Royal Marsden NHS Foundation Trust

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

55 Scopus citations

Abstract

Background: Genome-wide association studies have identified multiple genetic variants associated with prostate cancer risk which explain a substantial proportion of familial relative risk. These variants can be used to stratify individuals by their risk of prostate cancer. Methods: We genotyped 25 prostate cancer susceptibility loci in 40,414 individuals and derived a polygenic risk score (PRS).We estimated empirical odds ratios (OR) for prostate cancer associated with different risk strata defined by PRS and derived agespecific absolute risks of developing prostate cancer by PRS stratum and family history. Results: The prostate cancer risk for men in the top 1% of the PRS distribution was 30.6 (95% CI, 16.4-57.3) fold compared with men in the bottom 1%, and 4.2 (95% CI, 3.2-5.5) fold compared with the median risk. The absolute risk of prostate cancer by age of 85 years was 65.8% for a man with family history in the top 1% of the PRS distribution, compared with 3.7% for a man in the bottom 1%. The PRS was only weakly correlated with serum PSA level (correlation = 0.09). Conclusions: Risk profiling can identify men at substantially increased or reduced risk of prostate cancer. The effect size, measured by OR per unit PRS, was higher in men at younger ages and in men with family history of prostate cancer. Incorporating additional newly identified loci into a PRS should improve the predictive value of risk profiles. Impact:We demonstrate that the risk profiling based on SNPs can identify men at substantially increased or reduced risk that could have useful implications for targeted prevention and screening programs.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)1121-1129
Number of pages9
JournalCancer Epidemiology Biomarkers and Prevention
Volume24
Issue number7
DOIs
StatePublished - 1 Jul 2015

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

  1. SDG 3 - Good Health and Well-being
    SDG 3 Good Health and Well-being

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