TY - GEN
T1 - Quantifying the effect of early warning systems on natural hazard risk
AU - Sättele, Martina
AU - Bründl, Michael
AU - Straub, Daniel
PY - 2015
Y1 - 2015
N2 - Risk to persons caused by gravitationally driven site-specific natural hazards along traffic routes is frequently reduced with Early Warning Systems (EWS). To identify an optimal risk reduction strategy, decision-makers should be able to quantify the effectiveness and costs achieved with EWS and compare both to alternative mitigation measures. A recognized framework approach for quantifying the effectiveness of EWS is currently lacking. We provide such a framework approach, which includes six steps that enable a structured quantification of the effectiveness, from the reliability of the EWS. To this end, site specific EWS are distinguished in two classes and the reliability analyses are conducted according to specific needs with Bayesian Networks (BN).
AB - Risk to persons caused by gravitationally driven site-specific natural hazards along traffic routes is frequently reduced with Early Warning Systems (EWS). To identify an optimal risk reduction strategy, decision-makers should be able to quantify the effectiveness and costs achieved with EWS and compare both to alternative mitigation measures. A recognized framework approach for quantifying the effectiveness of EWS is currently lacking. We provide such a framework approach, which includes six steps that enable a structured quantification of the effectiveness, from the reliability of the EWS. To this end, site specific EWS are distinguished in two classes and the reliability analyses are conducted according to specific needs with Bayesian Networks (BN).
UR - https://www.scopus.com/pages/publications/84978636442
M3 - Conference contribution
AN - SCOPUS:84978636442
T3 - 12th International Conference on Applications of Statistics and Probability in Civil Engineering, ICASP 2015
BT - 12th International Conference on Applications of Statistics and Probability in Civil Engineering, ICASP 2015
PB - University of British Columbia
T2 - 12th International Conference on Applications of Statistics and Probability in Civil Engineering, ICASP 2012
Y2 - 12 July 2015 through 15 July 2015
ER -