Prognostic value of plasma b-type natriuretic peptide in the long-term follow-up of patients with transposition of the great arteries with morphologic right systemic ventricle after atrial switch operation

Background:B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) is an established marker for heart failure assessment, but the prognostic quality of BNP after atrial switch operation (ASO) has not yet been elucidated.Methods and Results:In 89 patients (median age, 24 years; range, 15–35 years) after ASO, BNP was measured. During a 48-months follow-up we focused on critical cardiac events, defined as decompensation, sudden cardiac death or need for heart transplantation. BNP was considerably lower in 81 patients in functional class (FC) I/II (median, 35 pg/ml; range, 3–586 pg/ml) than in 6 patients in FC III/IV (median, 246 pg/ml; range, 14–1,150 pg/ml, P≤0.073). BNP was significantly higher after Mustard than after Senning procedure (P≤0.030). There was no significant difference in BNP between simple or complex transposition of the great arteries (TGA) (P≤0.44). Eleven subjects (13%, 95% CI: 7–22%) had a critical cardiac event within 48 months. On ROC analysis BNP had a high predictive value regarding discrimination of patients with and without critical events (area under the ROC curve, 0.90; 95% CI: 0.76 to >0.99, P>0.001). The cut-off was 85 pg/ml (sensitivity, 88%; specificity, 85%). Additionally, estimated event-free-survival was longer after Senning than after Mustard procedure (P≤0.017). There was no significant difference in outcome between patients with simple or complex TGA with regard to occurrence of critical events.Conclusions:BNP is a sensitive and specific prognostic marker for critical cardiac events after ASO.