TY - JOUR
T1 - Prediction of risk for bleeding, myocardial infarction and mortality after percutaneous coronary intervention in patients with acute coronary syndromes
AU - Ndrepepa, Gjin
AU - Neumann, Franz Josef
AU - Menichelli, Maurizio
AU - Richardt, Gert
AU - Cassese, Salvatore
AU - Xhepa, Erion
AU - Kufner, Sebastian
AU - Lahu, Shqipdona
AU - Aytekin, Alp
AU - Sager, Hendrik B.
AU - Joner, Michael
AU - Ibrahim, Tareq
AU - Müller, Arne
AU - Fusaro, Massimiliano
AU - Hapfelmeier, Alexander
AU - Laugwitz, Karl Ludwig
AU - Schunkert, Heribert
AU - Kastrati, Adnan
AU - Kasel, Markus
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© 2022 Lippincott Williams and Wilkins. All rights reserved.
PY - 2022/5/1
Y1 - 2022/5/1
N2 - Background Whether bleeding and myocardial infarction (MI) improve the performance of risk prediction models for mortality in patients with acute coronary syndromes (ACS) treated with percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) remains unknown. Methods This study included 3377 patients with ACS who underwent PCI in the setting of the ISAR-REACT 5 trial. Patients with bleeding, MI or those dying at 1 year after PCI were characterized in terms of baseline characteristics, risk estimates and C-statistic of the risk prediction models for these outcomes. Results Major bleeding (Bleeding Academic Research Consortium types 3-5), MI and mortality occurred in 195 patients (5.8%), 143 patients (4.3%) and 143 patients (4.3%), respectively. After adjustment, bleeding [hazard ratio = 5.08; 95% confidence interval (CI), 3.03-8.53; P < 0.001] and MI [hazard ratio = 5.90; 95% CI, (3.00-11.65); P < 0.001) remained independently associated with the risk for 1-year mortality. The C-statistic (with 95% CI) of the model for bleeding, MI and mortality was, 0.755 (0.722-0.786), 0.752 (0.717-0.789) and 0.868 (0.837-0.896), respectively. The inclusion of bleeding [C-statistic: 0.892 (0.867-0.913); delta C-statistic 0.024 (-0.014 to 0.065); P = 0.200] or MI [C-statistic: 0.878 (0.851-0.903); delta C-statistic 0.011 (-0.030 to 0.053); P = 0.635] in the risk prediction models for mortality alongside baseline demographical and clinical variables did not improve prediction for mortality. Conclusions In patients with ACS treated with PCI, mortality is the most accurately predicted outcome. Bleeding and MI did not improve risk discrimination for mortality when added in the risk prediction models for mortality suggesting that these outcomes do not provide incremental prognostic information on top of baseline demographical and clinical data.
AB - Background Whether bleeding and myocardial infarction (MI) improve the performance of risk prediction models for mortality in patients with acute coronary syndromes (ACS) treated with percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) remains unknown. Methods This study included 3377 patients with ACS who underwent PCI in the setting of the ISAR-REACT 5 trial. Patients with bleeding, MI or those dying at 1 year after PCI were characterized in terms of baseline characteristics, risk estimates and C-statistic of the risk prediction models for these outcomes. Results Major bleeding (Bleeding Academic Research Consortium types 3-5), MI and mortality occurred in 195 patients (5.8%), 143 patients (4.3%) and 143 patients (4.3%), respectively. After adjustment, bleeding [hazard ratio = 5.08; 95% confidence interval (CI), 3.03-8.53; P < 0.001] and MI [hazard ratio = 5.90; 95% CI, (3.00-11.65); P < 0.001) remained independently associated with the risk for 1-year mortality. The C-statistic (with 95% CI) of the model for bleeding, MI and mortality was, 0.755 (0.722-0.786), 0.752 (0.717-0.789) and 0.868 (0.837-0.896), respectively. The inclusion of bleeding [C-statistic: 0.892 (0.867-0.913); delta C-statistic 0.024 (-0.014 to 0.065); P = 0.200] or MI [C-statistic: 0.878 (0.851-0.903); delta C-statistic 0.011 (-0.030 to 0.053); P = 0.635] in the risk prediction models for mortality alongside baseline demographical and clinical variables did not improve prediction for mortality. Conclusions In patients with ACS treated with PCI, mortality is the most accurately predicted outcome. Bleeding and MI did not improve risk discrimination for mortality when added in the risk prediction models for mortality suggesting that these outcomes do not provide incremental prognostic information on top of baseline demographical and clinical data.
KW - acute coronary syndrome
KW - bleeding
KW - mortality
KW - myocardial infarction
KW - percutaneous coronary intervention
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85128245080&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1097/MCA.0000000000001120
DO - 10.1097/MCA.0000000000001120
M3 - Article
C2 - 35102066
AN - SCOPUS:85128245080
SN - 0954-6928
VL - 33
SP - 213
EP - 221
JO - Coronary Artery Disease
JF - Coronary Artery Disease
IS - 3
ER -