TY - GEN
T1 - Predicting Unseen Process Behavior Based on Log Injection
AU - Chen, Qian
AU - Winter, Karolin
AU - Rinderle-Ma, Stefanie
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2025.
PY - 2025
Y1 - 2025
N2 - Predictive process monitoring (PPM) offers multiple benefits for enterprises, e.g., the early planning of resources. Its efficacy depends on the quality of event data used for model training. In this work, we study the effects of unseen behavior, i.e., events that are not present in the training data, on prediction quality. Unseen behavior might occur due to infrequent traces or added compliance constraints. Existing approaches focus on predicting unseen behavior based on updating the prediction model. Another option is to inject unseen behavior into the training data based on order and temporal constraints on events. Due to the model-agnostic nature of log injection, different PPM approaches can be employed without any modification. The proposed algorithms are prototypically implemented and evaluated on real-life event logs. The results demonstrate that log injection can enhance prediction quality and is more time-efficient than state-of-the-art model update strategies.
AB - Predictive process monitoring (PPM) offers multiple benefits for enterprises, e.g., the early planning of resources. Its efficacy depends on the quality of event data used for model training. In this work, we study the effects of unseen behavior, i.e., events that are not present in the training data, on prediction quality. Unseen behavior might occur due to infrequent traces or added compliance constraints. Existing approaches focus on predicting unseen behavior based on updating the prediction model. Another option is to inject unseen behavior into the training data based on order and temporal constraints on events. Due to the model-agnostic nature of log injection, different PPM approaches can be employed without any modification. The proposed algorithms are prototypically implemented and evaluated on real-life event logs. The results demonstrate that log injection can enhance prediction quality and is more time-efficient than state-of-the-art model update strategies.
KW - Log injection
KW - Predictive process monitoring
KW - Unseen behavior
UR - https://www.scopus.com/pages/publications/105009267896
U2 - 10.1007/978-3-031-95397-2_10
DO - 10.1007/978-3-031-95397-2_10
M3 - Conference contribution
AN - SCOPUS:105009267896
SN - 9783031953965
T3 - Lecture Notes in Business Information Processing
SP - 159
EP - 175
BT - Enterprise, Business-Process and Information Systems Modeling - 26th International Conference, BPMDS 2025, and 30th International Conference, EMMSAD 2025, Proceedings
A2 - Guizzardi, Renata
A2 - Pufahl, Luise
A2 - Sturm, Arnon
A2 - van der Aa, Han
PB - Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH
T2 - 26th International Working Conference on Business Process Modeling, Development, and Support, BPMDS 2025 and 30th International Working Conference on Exploring Modeling Methods for Systems Analysis and Development, EMMSAD 2025
Y2 - 16 June 2025 through 17 June 2025
ER -