Predicting survival using clinical risk scores and non-HLA immunogenetics

Y. Balavarca, K. Pearce, J. Norden, M. Collin, G. Jackson, E. Holler, R. Dressel, H. J. Kolb, H. Greinix, G. Socie, A. Toubert, V. Rocha, E. Gluckman, I. Hromadnikova, P. Sedlacek, D. Wolff, U. Holtick, A. Dickinson, H. Bickeböller

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

12 Scopus citations

Abstract

Previous studies of non-histocompatibility leukocyte antigen (HLA) gene single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) on subgroups of patients undergoing allogeneic haematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT) revealed an association with transplant outcome. This study further evaluated the association of non-HLA polymorphisms with overall survival in a cohort of 762 HSCT patients using data on 26 polymorphisms in 16 non-HLA genes. When viewed in addition to an already established clinical risk score (EBMT-score), three polymorphisms: rs8177374 in the gene for MyD88-adapter-like (MAL; P=0.026), rs9340799 in the oestrogen receptor gene (ESR; P=0.003) and rs1800795 in interleukin-6 (IL-6; P=0.007) were found to be associated with reduced overall survival, whereas the haplo-genotype (ACC/ACC) in IL-10 was protective (P=0.02). The addition of these non-HLA polymorphisms in a Cox regression model alongside the EBMT-score improved discrimination between risk groups and increased the level of prediction compared with the EBMT-score alone (gain in prediction capability for EBMT-genetic-score 10.8%). Results also demonstrated how changes in clinical practice through time have altered the effects of non-HLA analysis. The study illustrates the significance of non-HLA genotyping prior to HSCT and the importance of further investigation into non-HLA gene polymorphisms in risk prediction.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)1445-1452
Number of pages8
JournalBone Marrow Transplantation
Volume50
Issue number11
DOIs
StatePublished - 1 Nov 2015
Externally publishedYes

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