TY - GEN
T1 - Post-earthquake decision-making using influence diagrams
AU - Bensi, Michelle T.
AU - Der Kiureghian, Armen
AU - Straub, Daniel
PY - 2011
Y1 - 2011
N2 - A Bayesian network (BN) is a probabilistic graphical model that represents a set of random variables and their probabilistic dependencies. When extended by decision and utility nodes into an influence diagram (ID), the resulting network can be highly useful for aiding post-earthquake decision-making. We develop preliminary IDs to solve a specific decision problem involving the post-earthquake inspection and shutdown of components. Specifically, we focus on a post-earthquake scenario in which an earthquake has occurred and placed seismic demands on the components of an infrastructure system and a decision-maker must decide, upon probabilistic updating for available information, whether to shutdown and/or inspect each component of the system. An example application demonstrates the methodology.
AB - A Bayesian network (BN) is a probabilistic graphical model that represents a set of random variables and their probabilistic dependencies. When extended by decision and utility nodes into an influence diagram (ID), the resulting network can be highly useful for aiding post-earthquake decision-making. We develop preliminary IDs to solve a specific decision problem involving the post-earthquake inspection and shutdown of components. Specifically, we focus on a post-earthquake scenario in which an earthquake has occurred and placed seismic demands on the components of an infrastructure system and a decision-maker must decide, upon probabilistic updating for available information, whether to shutdown and/or inspect each component of the system. An example application demonstrates the methodology.
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=84856747400&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1201/b11332-51
DO - 10.1201/b11332-51
M3 - Conference contribution
AN - SCOPUS:84856747400
SN - 9780415669863
T3 - Applications of Statistics and Probability in Civil Engineering -Proceedings of the 11th International Conference on Applications of Statistics and Probability in Civil Engineering
SP - 343
EP - 351
BT - Applications of Statistics and Probability in Civil Engineering -Proceedings of the 11th International Conference on Applications of Statistics and Probability in Civil Engineering
PB - Taylor and Francis Inc.
T2 - 11th International Conference on Applications of Statistics and Probability in Civil Engineering, ICASP
Y2 - 1 August 2011 through 4 August 2011
ER -