On the ruin probability of the generalised ornstein-uhlenbeck process in the cramér case

Damien Bankovsky, Claudia Klüppelberg, Ross Maller

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

8 Scopus citations

Abstract

For a bivariate Lévy process (ξt, ηt)t≤0 and initial value V0, define the generalised Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (GOU) process Vt:= eξt (V0 + ∫t0 e−ξs−s), t ≤ 0, and the associated stochastic integral process Zt:= ∫t0 e−ξs−s, t ≤ 0. Let Tz:= inf(t > 0: Vt < 0 | V0 = z) and Ψ(z):= P(Tz < ∞) for z ≤ 0 be the ruin time and infinite horizon ruin probability of the GOU process. Our results extend previous work of Nyrhinen (2001) and others to give asymptotic estimates for Ψ(z) and the distribution of Tz as z →∞, under very general, easily checkable, assumptions, when ξ satisfies a Cramér condition.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)15-28
Number of pages14
JournalJournal of Applied Probability
Volume48A
DOIs
StatePublished - Aug 2011

Keywords

  • Exponential functionals of Lévy processes
  • Generalised Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process
  • Ruin probability
  • Stochastic recurrence equation

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