TY - JOUR
T1 - Multi-attribute non-expected utility
AU - Geiger, Gebhard
N1 - Funding Information:
Acknowledgements The author would like to thank Professor Christoph Kaserer of the Institute of Financial Management and Capital Markets, Technische Universität München, for his support and hospitality at his Institute. Without this support, the present work would have been impossible to complete. Thanks also to one of the unknown reviewers whose detailed, constructive critique helped to improve the manuscript considerably. The present work has in part been carried out while the author held a grant from the German Federal Ministry of Education and Research (BMBF), Security Research Programme, grant number 13N10026 (SiVe, Sicherheit von Verkehrsinfrastrukturen, 2008–2011). Financial support has also been provided the Commission of the European Union, Directorate-General for Enterprise and Industry. This support has been granted as part of the Commissions Seventh Framework Programme under Grant Agreement Number 261742 (Security Research, ValueSec project 2011–2014).
PY - 2012/7
Y1 - 2012/7
N2 - In management applications of risk theory, planning and decision making are typically concerned with complex multi-dimensional attributes of risk and utility trade-offs between them. This paper presents a novel approach to multi-attribute non-expected utility which is especially designed to serve application and risk management purposes. It is based on a recently developed non-expected utility model that accommodates systematic violations of expected utility of various kinds observed in risky choice experiments. In the model, the possible outcomes of risky decisions are assumed to be multi-dimensional, that is, classified, measured, compared and assessed from different economic and non-economic perspectives simultaneously. Of the risk attributes to be jointly evaluated in a decision problem, each is supposed to be utility independent of the complementary set of all the other attributes also considered. Mutual utility independence and additive independence are particularly pronounced forms of utility independence. An order-preserving preference functional exists if the agent's risk preferences satisfy familiar rationality requirements. The functional provides a consistently scaled, multi-linear representation in terms of single-attribute probability-dependent utility functions. Finally, the formalism is applied to explain observed trade-offs between monetary benefits obtained, and fatalities incurred, in the operation of large-scale industrial systems.
AB - In management applications of risk theory, planning and decision making are typically concerned with complex multi-dimensional attributes of risk and utility trade-offs between them. This paper presents a novel approach to multi-attribute non-expected utility which is especially designed to serve application and risk management purposes. It is based on a recently developed non-expected utility model that accommodates systematic violations of expected utility of various kinds observed in risky choice experiments. In the model, the possible outcomes of risky decisions are assumed to be multi-dimensional, that is, classified, measured, compared and assessed from different economic and non-economic perspectives simultaneously. Of the risk attributes to be jointly evaluated in a decision problem, each is supposed to be utility independent of the complementary set of all the other attributes also considered. Mutual utility independence and additive independence are particularly pronounced forms of utility independence. An order-preserving preference functional exists if the agent's risk preferences satisfy familiar rationality requirements. The functional provides a consistently scaled, multi-linear representation in terms of single-attribute probability-dependent utility functions. Finally, the formalism is applied to explain observed trade-offs between monetary benefits obtained, and fatalities incurred, in the operation of large-scale industrial systems.
KW - Multi-attribute utility theory
KW - Multi-criteria decision making
KW - Non-expected utility
KW - Rational choice under risk
KW - Utility independence
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=84863202017&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1007/s10479-012-1153-y
DO - 10.1007/s10479-012-1153-y
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:84863202017
SN - 0254-5330
VL - 196
SP - 263
EP - 292
JO - Annals of Operations Research
JF - Annals of Operations Research
IS - 1
ER -