Long-Term Protection Against Symptomatic Omicron Infections Requires Balanced Immunity Against Spike Epitopes After COVID-19 Vaccination

Background: Systematic studies providing differentiated insight into the contribution of immunity directed against conserved and non-conserved epitopes of SARS-CoV-2 Spike on long-term protection are rare and insufficiently guide future pan-variant vaccine research. The present observational cohort study aimed to evaluate the correlation of neutralizing antibody levels and cellular immunity against the Spike protein with symptomatic Omicron breakthrough infection. Methods: Neutralizing antibody levels against multiple (sub)variants were analyzed 6 months following the second wild-type mRNA vaccination and 6 months after booster in 107 subjects using a multiplex surrogate virus neutralization assay. To assess cellular immunity, cytokine mRNA expression levels were determined after peptide pool stimulation in whole blood samples of a study subgroup. Results: Neutralizing antibody titers were found to serve as a reasonably reliable correlate of protection prior to booster immunization. However, the predictive power of neutralizing antibody titers was diminished after boosting. This loss appears to be due to a critical remodeling of the antibody repertoire—a process that was dose-dependent on pre-boost humoral immunity. Vaccination against Omicron infection was most effective when a balanced immune response to both conserved and non-conserved epitopes of the viral Spike protein was induced. While neutralizing antibodies against receptor-binding domain epitopes affected by mutations were specifically associated with protection from symptomatic variant infection, cellular immunity was most effective when targeting conserved Spike epitopes. Conclusions: Optimal long-term protection against Omicron infection requires balanced immunity to both conserved and non-conserved epitopes of the viral Spike protein. The limited availability of cross-neutralizing antibodies targeting non-conserved epitopes and their inherently lower efficacy renders them a limiting factor as humoral immunity wanes over time. Future pan-SARS-CoV-2 variant vaccines that primarily target conserved epitopes may therefore provide less effective long-term protection against symptomatic variant infection than vaccines targeting a broader epitope spectrum including both conserved and non-conserved epitopes.