Long-term prospective outcome data using EndoPredict as risk stratification and chemotherapy decision biomarker in hormone receptor-positive, HER2-negative early breast cancer

Purpose: To report the prospective long-term outcome data of patients whose chemotherapy decision was guided by the EndoPredict test. Methods: Patients with hormone receptor-positive HER2-negative early breast cancer with 0–3 positive lymph nodes were enrolled. The EndoPredict test was carried out on all tumor samples. Treatment compliance, local recurrence, distant metastases, and survival were evaluated. Associations of EPclin risk stratification with 5-year disease-free survival and distant metastasis-free survival were evaluated by time-to-event analysis. Results: 368 consecutive patients were included in the analysis. Median follow-up was 8.2 years. EndoPredict allocated 238 (65%) in the low-risk and 130 (35%) patients in the high-risk group. Risk for disease recurrence or death in EPclin high-risk patients was twofold higher than in EPclin low-risk patients (hazard ratio [HR] 2.08; 95% CI 1.26–3.44; p = 0.004). EPclin low-risk patients had a 5-year disease-free survival of 95.3% (95% CI 92.6–98.0%). EPclin high-risk patients were at higher risk of developing distant metastases or death (HR 2.21; 95% CI 1.27–3.88; p = 0.005). EPclin high-risk patients who underwent chemotherapy had a 5-year DFS of 89.1% (95% CI 82.7–96.1%) in contrast to high-risk patients without chemotherapy (68.9%; 95% CI 56.2–84.5%; HR 0.46; 95% CI 0.23–0.95; p = 0.036). EPclin high-risk patients were at higher risk of experiencing distant metastases or death than EPclin low-risk patients regardless of menopausal status (premenopausal: HR 3.55; 95% CI 1.17–12.32; p = 0.025; postmenopausal: HR 1.92; 95% CI 0.99–3.7; p = 0.054). Conclusion: EndoPredict can guide decisions on adjuvant chemotherapy in early luminal breast cancer. EndoPredict risk stratification is also applicable in premenopausal women.