Green airlines 2025: Environment and sustainability in commercial aviation – A scenario study

Felix Will, Gilbert Tay, Axel Becker, Daniel Carnelly, Frédéric Eychenne, Mirko Hornung

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

7 Scopus citations

Abstract

Reducing the environmental impact is a great challenge for the aviation industry. However, the difficulty to anticipate future developments combined with long product life-cycles make strategy definition for aviation stakeholders challenging. This paper therefore presents a foresight project of a joint study by Airbus, Technical University of Munich, and Bauhaus Luftfahrt. The methodology uses a scenario approach to develop three alternative scenarios. They represent future situations of the aviation world in the year 2025 with focus on environmental topics. Driving factors of influence for the future development are identified, for instance, the world economy, environmental regulations, or the passenger’s perception of aviation. Finally, strategic implications for airlines and aircraft manufacturers and possible fields of cooperation are discussed within the scenarios. Aircraft fleet renewals, for example, are considered as the most important step for airlines in all three scenarios. Sustainable fuels are not expected to have a significant contribution until 2025.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publication16th AIAA Aviation Technology, Integration, and Operations Conference
PublisherAmerican Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics Inc, AIAA
ISBN (Print)9781624104404
DOIs
StatePublished - 2016
Event16th AIAA Aviation Technology, Integration, and Operations Conference, 2016 - Washington, United States
Duration: 13 Jun 201617 Jun 2016

Publication series

Name16th AIAA Aviation Technology, Integration, and Operations Conference

Conference

Conference16th AIAA Aviation Technology, Integration, and Operations Conference, 2016
Country/TerritoryUnited States
CityWashington
Period13/06/1617/06/16

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