Abstract
We construct fractionally integrated continuous-time GARCH models, which capture the observed long-range dependence of squared volatility in high-frequency data. Since the usual Molchan-Golosov and Mandelbrot-van-Ness fractional kernels lead to problems in the definition of the model, we resort to moderately long-memory processes by choosing a fractional parameter d ∈(-0.5,0)and remove the singularities of the kernel to obtain nonpathological sample paths. The volatility of the new fractional continuous-time GARCH process has positive features like stationarity, and its covariance function shows an algebraic decay, which makes it applicable to econometric high-frequency data. The model is fitted to exchange rate data using a simulation-based version of the generalized method of moments.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Pages (from-to) | 599-628 |
| Number of pages | 30 |
| Journal | Journal of Financial Econometrics |
| Volume | 16 |
| Issue number | 4 |
| DOIs | |
| State | Published - 1 Sep 2018 |
Keywords
- FICOGARCH
- Fractional subordinator
- Fractionally integrated COGARCH
- Long-range dependence
- Lévy process
- Stationarity
- Stochastic volatility modeling
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