Abstract
The probability of a stochastic process to first breach an upper and/or a lower level is an important quantity for optimal control and risk management. We present those probabilities for regime switching Brownian motion. In the 2- and 3-state model, the Laplace transform of the (single and double barrier) first-passage times is-up to the roots of a polynomial of degree 4 (respectively 6)-derived in closed-form by solving the matrix Wiener-Hopf factorization.11The matrix Wiener-Hopf factors of regime switching models are defined via a set of quadratic matrix equations (see, e.g., London etal., 1982; Barlow etal., 1990; Kennedy and Williams, 1990; Rogers and Shi, 1994; Asmussen, 1995). This concept was expanded to regime switching jump diffusions by Jiang and Pistorius (2008). This extends single barrier results in the 2-state model by Guo (2001b). If the quotient of drift and variance is constant over all states, we show that the Laplace transform can even be inverted analytically.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Pages (from-to) | 148-157 |
| Number of pages | 10 |
| Journal | Statistics and Probability Letters |
| Volume | 92 |
| DOIs | |
| State | Published - Sep 2014 |
Keywords
- First-exit time
- First-passage time
- Markov switching
- Option pricing
- Regime switching
- Wiener-Hopf factorization
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