Exploring heterogeneity in coxarthrosis medication use patterns before total hip replacement: a State Sequence Analysis

Objective Evidence of geographical variation in total hip replacement (THR) and deviations from treatment guidelines persists. In this exploratory study, we aim to gain an in-depth understanding of patients' healthcare trajectories by identifying and visualising medication use patterns in coxarthrosis patients before surgery. We examine their association with patient characteristics and THR, and compare them with recommendations on mild analgesics, opioid prescription and exhaustion of conservative therapy. Methods In this exploratory study, we apply State Sequence Analysis (SSA) on German health insurance data (2012-2015). We analyse a cohort of coxarthrosis patients, half of whom underwent THR after a 1 year observation period and half of whom did not undergo surgery until at least 1 year after the observation period. Hierarchical states are defined based on prescriptions. We construct sequences, calculate sequence similarity using optimal matching and identify medication use patterns via clustering. Patterns are visualised, descriptive statistics are presented and logistic regression is employed to investigate the association of medication patterns with subsequent THR. Results Seven distinct medication use patterns are identified, correlating strongly with patient characteristics and subsequent THR. Two patterns leading to THR demonstrate exhaustion of pharmacological therapy. Opioid use is concentrated in two small patterns with low odds for THR. The most frequent pattern lacks significant pharmacological therapy. Conclusions This SSA uncovers heterogeneity in medication use patterns before surgery in coxarthrosis patients. Cautious opioid handling and adherence to a stepped prescription approach are observed, but many patients display low medication therapy usage and lack evidence of exhausting conservative options before surgery.