Characteristics of rapid vs slow progression to type 1 diabetes in multiple islet autoantibody-positive children

Aims/hypothesis: Islet autoantibody-positive children progress to type 1 diabetes at variable rates. In our study, we asked whether characteristic autoantibody and/or gene profiles could be defined for phenotypes showing extreme progression. Methods: Autoantibodies to insulin (IAA), GAD (GADA), insulinoma-associated antigen-2 (IA-2A) and zinc transporter 8 (ZnT8A) were measured in follow-up sera, and genotyping for type 1 diabetes susceptibility genes (HLA-DR/HLA-DQ, INS variable number of tandem repeats [VNTR] and single nucleotide polymorphisms at PTPN22, PTPN2, ERBB3, IL2, SH2B3, CTLA4, IFIH1, KIAA0350 [also known as CLEC16A], CD25, IL18RAP, IL10, COBL) was performed on the DNA samples of children born to a parent with type 1 diabetes and prospectively followed from birth for up to 22 years. Results: Of the 1,650 children followed, 23 developed multiple autoantibodies and progressed to diabetes within 3 years (rapid progressors), while 24 children developed multiple autoantibodies and remained non-diabetic for more than 10 years from seroconversion (slow progressors). Rapid and slow progressors were similar with respect to HLA-DR/HLA-DQ genotypes, development of IAA, GADA and ZnT8A, and progression to multiple autoantibodies. In contrast, IA-2A development was considerably delayed in the slow progressors. Furthermore, both groups were effectively distinguished by the combined presence or absence of type 1 diabetes susceptibility alleles of non-HLA genes, most notably IL2, CD25, INS VNTR, IL18RAP, IL10, IFIH1 and PTPN22, and discrimination was improved among children carrying high-risk HLA-DR/HLA-DQ genotypes. Conclusions/interpretation: Our data suggest that genotypes of non-HLA type 1 diabetes susceptibility genes influence the likelihood or rate of diabetes progression among children with multiple islet autoantibodies.