Causal Model Extraction from Attack Trees to Attribute Malicious Insider Attacks

In the context of insiders, preventive security measures have a high likelihood of failing because insiders ought to have sufficient privileges to perform their jobs. Instead, in this paper, we propose to treat the insider threat by a detective measure that holds an insider accountable in case of violations. However, to enable accountability, we need to create causal models that support reasoning about the causality of a violation. Current security models (e.g., attack trees) do not allow that. Still, they are a useful source for creating causal models. In this paper, we discuss the value added by causal models in the security context. Then, we capture the interaction between attack trees and causal models by proposing an automated approach to extract the latter from the former. Our approach considers insider-specific attack classes such as collusion attacks and causal-model-specific properties like preemption relations. We present an evaluation of the resulting causal models’ validity and effectiveness, in addition to the efficiency of the extraction process.