Behaviour of UMDA _c with truncation selection on monotonous functions

Of late, much progress has been made in developing Estimation of Distribution Algorithms (EDA), algorithms that use probabilistic modelling of high quality solutions to guide their search. While experimental results on EDA behaviour are widely available, theoretical results are still rare. This is especially the case for continuous EDA. In this article, we develop theory that predicts the behaviour of the Univariate Marginal Distribution Algorithm in the continuous domain (UMDA _c) with truncation selection on monotonous fitness functions. Monotonous functions are commonly used to model the algorithm behaviour far from the optimum. Our result includes formulae to predict population statistics in a specific generation as well as population statistics after convergence. We find that population statistics develop identically for monotonous functions. We show that if assuming monotonous fitness functions, the distance that UMDA _c travels across the search space is bounded and solely relies on the percentage of selected individuals and not on the structure of the fitness landscape. This can be problematic if this distance is too small for the algorithm to find the optimum. Also, by wrongly setting the selection intensity, one might not be able to explore the whole search space.