TY - JOUR
T1 - Analyst recommendations and mispricing across the globe
AU - Azevedo, Vitor
AU - Müller, Sebastian
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© 2024 The Author(s)
PY - 2024/12
Y1 - 2024/12
N2 - We examine the value of analysts’ recommendations using a dataset of 45 countries, 3.8 million firm-month observations, and 222 return anomalies from 1994 to 2019. Unlike U.S.-based evidence, recommendations lead to subsequent highly significant abnormal returns in international markets. Furthermore, analysts do not seem to strengthen mispricing in international markets, as they give more favorable recommendations to (anomaly-ranked) underpriced stocks, and inconsistencies between recommendations and composite anomaly ranks lead to lower, not higher, abnormal returns. Recommendations are more valuable in less developed and less individualistic markets. Our results suggest that analysts’ recommendations provide more value to investors than previously thought.
AB - We examine the value of analysts’ recommendations using a dataset of 45 countries, 3.8 million firm-month observations, and 222 return anomalies from 1994 to 2019. Unlike U.S.-based evidence, recommendations lead to subsequent highly significant abnormal returns in international markets. Furthermore, analysts do not seem to strengthen mispricing in international markets, as they give more favorable recommendations to (anomaly-ranked) underpriced stocks, and inconsistencies between recommendations and composite anomaly ranks lead to lower, not higher, abnormal returns. Recommendations are more valuable in less developed and less individualistic markets. Our results suggest that analysts’ recommendations provide more value to investors than previously thought.
KW - Analysts
KW - Analysts’ recommendations
KW - Anomalies
KW - International stock markets
KW - Market efficiency
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85204313298&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2024.107296
DO - 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2024.107296
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:85204313298
SN - 0378-4266
VL - 169
JO - Journal of Banking and Finance
JF - Journal of Banking and Finance
M1 - 107296
ER -