A mixed copula model for insurance claims and claim sizes

Claudia Czado, Rainer Kastenmeier, Eike Christian Brechmann, Aleksey Min

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

92 Scopus citations

Abstract

A crucial assumption of the classical compound Poisson model of Lundberg for assessing the total loss incurred in an insurance portfolio is the independence between the occurrence of a claim and its claims size. In this paper we present a mixed copula approach suggested by Song et al. to allow for dependency between the number of claims and its corresponding average claim size using a Gaussian copula. Marginally we permit for regression effects both on the number of incurred claims as well as its average claim size using generalized linear models. Parameters are estimated using adaptive versions of maximization by parts (MBP). The performance of the estimation procedure is validated in an extensive simulation study. Finally the method is applied to a portfolio of car insurance policies, indicating its superiority over the classical compound Poisson model.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)278-305
Number of pages28
JournalScandinavian Actuarial Journal
Issue number4
DOIs
StatePublished - Dec 2012

Keywords

  • Average claim size
  • Copula
  • GLM
  • Maximization by parts
  • Number of claims
  • Total claim size

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