Abstract
Motivated by empirical evidence of long range dependence in macroeconomic variables like interest rates we propose a fractional Brownian motion driven model to describe the dynamics of the short and the default rate in a bond market. Aiming at results analogous to those for affine models we start with a bivariate fractional Vasicek model for short and default rate, which allows for fairly explicit calculations. We calculate the prices of corresponding defaultable zero-coupon bonds by invoking Wick calculus. Applying a Girsanov theorem we derive today's prices of European calls and compare our results to the classical Brownian model.
Original language | English |
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Pages (from-to) | 1319-1347 |
Number of pages | 29 |
Journal | Stochastic Processes and their Applications |
Volume | 123 |
Issue number | 4 |
DOIs | |
State | Published - 2013 |
Keywords
- Credit risk
- Default rate
- Defaultable bond
- Derivatives pricing
- Fractional Brownian motion
- Fractional Vasicek model
- Hazard rate
- Interest rate
- Long range dependence
- Macroeconomic variables process
- Option pricing
- Prediction
- Short rate
- Wick product