Representative natural hazard scenarios for risk assessment of spatially distributed infrastructure systems

Hugo Rosero-Velásquez, Daniel Straub

Publikation: Beitrag in Buch/Bericht/KonferenzbandKonferenzbeitragBegutachtung

3 Zitate (Scopus)

Abstract

Representative scenarios with predefined return periods are of importance in many contexts, including risk communication and quantitative risk assessments for which simple Monte-Carlo based analysis is not possible. Determining a hazard scenario associated to a specific return period for designing or assessing an infrastructure system is nontrivial, because the intensity of a natural hazard impact on an infrastructure system is spatially variable. In this paper, we propose a methodology for determining representative spatially-distributed hazard scenarios. It is based on a sampling-based system analysis utilizing a simplified system model based on network efficiency. The methodology is demonstrated by application to an idealized lifeline system.

OriginalspracheEnglisch
TitelProceedings of the 29th European Safety and Reliability Conference, ESREL 2019
Redakteure/-innenMichael Beer, Enrico Zio
Herausgeber (Verlag)Research Publishing Services
Seiten2547-2553
Seitenumfang7
ISBN (elektronisch)9789811127243
DOIs
PublikationsstatusVeröffentlicht - 2020
Veranstaltung29th European Safety and Reliability Conference, ESREL 2019 - Hannover, Deutschland
Dauer: 22 Sept. 201926 Sept. 2019

Publikationsreihe

NameProceedings of the 29th European Safety and Reliability Conference, ESREL 2019

Konferenz

Konferenz29th European Safety and Reliability Conference, ESREL 2019
Land/GebietDeutschland
OrtHannover
Zeitraum22/09/1926/09/19

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