@inproceedings{af3139980da4457cb4bc3f7acc38e381,
title = "Reliability analysis for Runway Overrun using subset simulation",
abstract = "Runway overrun is one of the main accident types in airline operations. Nevertheless, due to the high safety levels in the aviation industry, the probability of a runway overrun is small. This motivates the use of structural reliability concepts to estimate this probability. We apply the physically-based model for the landing process of Drees and Holzapfel (2012) in combination with a probabilistic model of the input parameters. Subset simulation is used to estimate the probability of runway overrun for different runway conditions. We also carry out a sensitivity analysis to estimate the influence of each input random variable on the probability of an overrun. Importance measures and parameter sensitivities are estimated based on the samples from subset simulation and concepts of the First-Order Reliability Method (FORM).",
author = "K. Zwirglmaier and L. Drees and F. Holzapfel and D. Straub",
year = "2015",
doi = "10.1201/b17399-279",
language = "English",
isbn = "9781138026810",
series = "Safety and Reliability: Methodology and Applications - Proceedings of the European Safety and Reliability Conference, ESREL 2014",
publisher = "CRC Press/Balkema",
pages = "2035--2041",
booktitle = "Safety and Reliability",
note = "European Safety and Reliability Conference, ESREL 2014 ; Conference date: 14-09-2014 Through 18-09-2014",
}