A simulation-based impact assessment of autonomous vehicles in urban networks

The behavioural differences between autonomous vehicles (AVs) and human-driven vehicles (HDVs) can significantly impact traffic efficiency, safety, and emissions. Simulation-based impact assessments using microscopic traffic models often modify car-following (CF) and lane-changing (LC) configurations to differentiate AVs from HDVs. Typically, researchers adjust CF model parameters to replicate AV driving behaviour, but these assumptions can lead to varying conclusions on AV impacts. The scope of each study (e.g., freeways, highways, urban links, intersections) also influences the outcomes. This research conducts an impact assessment utilizing optimized AV driving behavior rather than assumptions on a city network level (Munich) using a simulation-based platform. The particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithm is used to calibrate the base model and run simulation experiments under various penetration rates (PRs) and demand scenarios. Results show significant safety improvements throughout the network under higher PRs, while lower PRs might lead to deteriorating safety. At 100% AV PR, the total number of conflicts decreased by around 25% compared to a fully HDV environment. Considering AVs' sensing capabilities, additional safety improvements are found in almost any AV PR. However, AVs might not improve traffic efficiency; in some cases, they may slightly increase average network travel time, though this change is minimal.